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A bombshell poll has put Nigel Farage's Reform UK even further ahead with Labour a staggering eight points behind. Reform topped Find Out Now voting intention tracker with 28% compared to Labour and the Conservatives which are both on 20%.

The Liberal Democrats were in third with 14% followed by the Greens (13%) and SNP (3%), according to Find Out Now's polling of 2,319 adults, who were asked on April 23 how they would vote if there were a general election. A three week average compiled by the pollster puts Reform on 27%, Labour on 21% and the Tories on 20%.

Tyron Surmon, Head of Research at Find Out Now, said the main trend since July's General Election has been the growth of Reform.

Mr Farage's party has retained almost all of the support it secured in July, far more than any other party, according to Mr Surmon.

Reform won almost a quarter (23%) of Tory voters last July. Mr Surmon said half the people who didn’t vote last say they would "definitely vote" next time.

Polls measuring national voting intention have been carried out almost every week since Labour won the General Election.

They first suggested Labour was holding steady at 30% of support or just above, with the Conservatives in second place at around 25% and Reform in third place at just below 20%.

But since late autumn 2024, two clear trends have been apparent. The first is a slow drop in support for Labour, which dipped below 30% in November then continued to fall to its current weekly average of between 23% and 25%.

The second trend is an increase in support for Reform, which climbed above 20% in December and then rose further, to reach its present weekly average of between 24% and 25%.

At the same time, there appears to have been a slight drop in support for the Conservatives, with the party now tending to score closer to 20% than 25%.

An average of polls with fieldwork completed during the seven days to April 20 put Reform on 25%, Labour on 23%, the Tories on 21%, the Liberal Democrats on 14% and the Greens on 10%.

Poll averages have been calculated by the Press Association news agency and are based on polls published by BMG, Deltapoll, FindOutNow, More in Common, Opinium, Survation, TechneUK and YouGov.

Opinion polls are snapshots of the prevailing national public mood, not projections or forecasts. They also offer only a limited guide to what may or may not happen in local elections.

Some 1,641 council seats in England are up for grabs on May 1 across 23 local authorities.

Elections are also taking place for four regional mayors and two local mayors, while voters in the constituency of Runcorn and Helsby will choose a new MP.

Reform's rise in support in the national opinion polls suggests the party has some momentum ahead of May 1.

But local factors, combined with an unpredictable turnout along with fierce competition from other parties and independent candidates make the outcome of this year's elections harder than usual to predict.


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